Moody’s downgrades ONGC rating on uncertain oil prices, Govt guidelines on dividend

26/03/2020

NEW DELHI: Moody’s Investors Service downgraded state-owned Oil and Natural Gas Corporation’s (ONGC) rating in view of the uncertain oil price environment, depleting cash reserves of the government and government guidelines constraining its ability to lower dividends.
The rating agency downgraded ONGC’s local and foreign currency issuer ratings to Baa2 from Baa1. It also downgraded the ratings of the unsecured bonds issued by ONGC and those issued by its subsidiary ONGC Videsh Ltd.
The outlook on all ratings remains negative, it said. “Given the increasingly uncertain oil price environment, ONGC’s depleted cash reserves, and government guidelines that constrains state-owned enterprises’ ability to lower dividends, ONGC’s ratings are materially challenged at the previous rating level and its credit profile insufficient to remain above India’s Baa2 sovereign rating. The rating outlook is negative in line with the outlook on India’s sovereign rating,” said Vikas Halan, senior vice-president, Moody’s. “Further, the downgrade reflects our expectation that ONGC’s credit metrics will weaken beyond the tolerance level for its ratings, if oil prices remain low for a prolonged period,” he said. Against the backdrop of a significant deterioration in oil prices over the last month that is predicted to persist for most of 2020, ONGC decided to pay an interim dividend of Rs 5 per share last week, resulting in cash outflows of Rs 6,300 crore, which has reduced its cash reserves. ONGC had consolidated cash and cash equivalents of Rs 6,700 crore as on September 30, 2019. “ONGC’s dividend policy is based on the guidelines issued by the Government of India in May 2016, which requires all government-owned companies to pay a minimum annual dividend equal to 5 per cent of their net worth even if they do not have sufficient profits,” Moody’s said.
Despite depleted cash reserves, ONGC is expected to meet its debt repayment obligations given its access to capital as a state-owned company. “However, its lower cash reserves have diminished the company’s capacity to protect its credit profile from oil price shocks,” Halan said.
ONGC’s cash reserves, which provided protection against the oil price decline in 2016, have been depleting over the past three years because of high dividends, share buyback in 2019, and its acquisition of Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd (HPCL) in 2018.

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