Normal rain likely in August and September, forecasts IMD


NEW DELHI, JULY 31: India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast normal rainfall at 104% of the long-period average (LPA) with a model error of +/-8% in the second half of monsoon season in August and September.
As on Friday (July 31), the country has received normal rain at 101% of LPA or 1% excess rain with 12% excess over the north-east and east India; 19 deficiency over northwest India; 3% deficiency over central India and 13% excess over the southern peninsula.
Rainfall in August is likely to be 97% of LPA with an error margin of +/-9%, which is also in the normal category.
The entire monsoon season -- June to September -- rainfall is also likely to be in the normal range (96% -104% of LPA) as was the forecast on June 1, IMD said on Friday.“This is only a general picture. It doesn’t give day-to-day or weekly variations, which can also be significant. We have to remember that this is also not mentioning the distribution of rainfall,” said K Sathi Devi, head, National Weather Forecasting Centre (NWFC).
In June, the country received 17.6% excess rains, but in July there was a 9.8% deficiency.

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